Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.252419 0.345932 0.450155 0.572685 0.710817 0.860024 1.031790
2025-06-29 0.117447 0.229239 0.373485 0.561079 0.789122 1.049925 1.364192
2025-07-06 0.071491 0.189351 0.359075 0.594078 0.891796 1.242140 1.673398
2025-07-13 0.044460 0.164388 0.356204 0.635895 1.001500 1.440645 1.989240
2025-07-20 0.026128 0.143541 0.352546 0.671632 1.099707 1.622335 2.282695
2025-07-27 0.017988 0.138461 0.370353 0.735128 1.232404 1.845471 2.625298
2025-08-03 0.009844 0.126226 0.373579 0.776164 1.334668 2.030413 2.921636
2025-08-10 0.002643 0.103826 0.354766 0.782397 1.389057 2.154610 3.143686
2025-08-17 NaN 0.068925 0.303678 0.734782 1.367275 2.180470 3.243878
2025-08-24 NaN 0.040392 0.253043 0.680814 1.332001 2.185729 3.315948
2025-08-31 NaN 0.025887 0.226678 0.662040 1.343197 2.248699 3.457732
2025-09-07 NaN 0.019488 0.219102 0.673832 1.397324 2.367067 3.668347
2025-09-14 NaN 0.010997 0.199256 0.664206 1.423018 2.452547 3.844108
2025-09-21 NaN 0.004401 0.176101 0.645736 1.434753 2.519686 3.997666
2025-09-28 NaN 0.003558 0.182110 0.682916 1.529921 2.698091 4.292230
2025-10-05 NaN 0.003255 0.191738 0.727382 1.636399 2.892008 4.606978
2025-10-12 NaN 0.002671 0.198396 0.765842 1.733747 3.073734 4.906341
2025-10-19 NaN 0.003676 0.219534 0.833742 1.876426 3.316874 5.284469
2025-10-26 NaN 0.003353 0.228742 0.877564 1.982285 3.510462 5.599483
2025-11-02 NaN 0.001492 0.219883 0.884209 2.030852 3.626584 5.815476
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.185001 0.833381 1.988668 3.618497 5.871435
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.149955 0.775649 1.932232 3.588677 5.897598
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.133011 0.755531 1.933844 3.637290 6.023860